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Monday
08Feb2010

Nancy Pelosi's "Sweatin' to the Socialists" - for those folks Wishing to drop a few pounds, or for those who just wish to become annoyed.

Monday
08Feb2010

LEON - GOING DOWN DOWN MAYBE MORE DOWN

Monday
08Feb2010

SMOKE & MIRRORS

Monday
08Feb2010

SOYBEAN CRUSH

Monday
08Feb2010

PIGS

Monday
08Feb2010

DYLAN RATIGAN

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Monday
08Feb2010

LEON

Monday
08Feb2010

SA Soybeans

Hot Hot in a couple of areas.....still a large crop but mother nature removing the edge.
Monday
08Feb2010

YRC Worldwide Loses $899 Million in 2009

The Journal of Commerce Online - News Story
Carrier insists it is gaining customers despite fourth quarter decline in freight

YRC Worldwide narrowed its losses last year and in the fourth quarter, but fierce competition and insecurity over its debt-for-equity swap hurt its business, company officials said today. Shipments and tonnage at YRC Worldwide companies declined both year over year and from the previous quarter in the last quarter of 2009.

But YRC officials said shipping trends are already improving in 2010 and that 1,000 shippers had either returned business or booked new business since October.

“We’re seeing the beginning of a pretty aggressive move back to the company by customers that had diverted some or all of their shipments,” said Chairman and CEO William D. Zollars. He told investment analysts today that YRC is in “advanced discussions with investors,” but declined to comment on those discussions.

For the full year, YRC Worldwide reported an $899 million loss before taxes, compared with a $1.1 billion operating loss and $974.4 million net loss in 2008.

Its operating revenue plunged 41 percent in 2009 to $5.3 billion, compared with $8.9 billion in 2008 and a high of $9.9 billion in 2006.

The company did not report an after-tax net loss for the fourth quarter or year, claiming “numerous complexities to the tax valuation” of its debt-for-equity exchange, completed Dec. 30. Shareholders will vote on that exchange Feb. 17.

YRC’s carriers saw freight levels drop as many of their less-than-truckload competitors aggressively priced services to build volume in the fourth quarter.

At nationwide LTL carrier YRC, total tonnage dropped 42.8 percent from the year-ago fourth quarter. Compared with the third quarter, total tonnage was down 14.1 percent and tonnage per day was down 10.6 percent at YRC National.

The carrier’s total number of shipments and shipments per day fell 39.9 percent from a year ago, with shipments declining 14.2 percent and shipments per day 10.7 percent from the third quarter.

Despite those declines, YRC did manage to improve its yield slightly compared with the third quarter, increasing revenue per hundredweight 1.5 percent. “We’re just not chasing bad business,” Zollars said.

Year-over-year, revenue per hundredweight at YRC was down 4.2 percent.

YRC Worldwide’s regional LTL carriers also saw tonnage and shipments drop in the fourth quarter. Total tonnage dropped 24.7 percent from a year ago at YRC Regional Transportation, while tonnage per day decreased 19.6 percent.

Compared with the third quarter, total regional tonnage dropped 12.8 percent and daily tonnage 6.2 percent.

Total shipments at the regional group — which includes Holland, Reddaway and New Penn — fell 24.9 percent to 2.8 million in the quarter, while shipments per day were down 19.9 percent from a year ago. Compared with the third quarter, total shipments fell 14.6 percent, and daily shipments 8.2 percent.
The regional carriers’ revenue per hundredweight was down 7.7 percent year-over-year and 1.8 percent from the third quarter.

Contact William B. Cassidy at wcassidy@joc.com

Journal of Commerce

Monday
08Feb2010

DALIAN OVERNIGHT

Monday
08Feb2010

OIL WORLD UPDATE

Monday 08 February 2010        

The following are the headlines of the respective FLASH report.

  • Prices of soya oil and other vegetable oils are likely to strengthen relative to meal. Firm soya oil prices will be required to keep crushings profitable...
  •  

  • Price premiums of high-oleic sun oil have strengthened considerably in recent months and are now considerably higher than last year...
  •  

  • Full implementation of the domestic consumption mandates will boost biodiesel production in Argentina in 2010....
  •  

  • A steep increase in domestic usage of palm oil is likely to turn Colombia into a net importer of palm oil in 2010 and 2011...


ISTA Mielke GmbH
Langenberg 25
21077 Hamburg / Germany
Phone: +49-(0)40-7610500
e-Mail: info@oilworld.de
The Independent Forecasting Service for Oilseeds, Oils & Meals
Providing Primary Information --Professional Analysis-- Unbiased Opinion

 

Monday
08Feb2010

HAMMERSMITH REPORT



WEEKLY REPORT -- FEB 7, 2010

Posted: 07 Feb 2010 09:52 AM PST

 
HAMMERSMITH MARKETING LTD
--------------------------------------
WEEKLY REPORT -- FEBRUARY 7, 2010
 
France:  Office: 33.9.7044.4881   Mobile: 33.6.8068.4564
UK Fax: 44.20.7681.1577     Mobile: 44.7762.740.270
USA Fax:   1.212.504.8033    Argentina  Fax: 54.11.4032.0069 
Head Office: Trident Services, Kings Court, Bay Street, PO Box N-3944, Nassau Bahamas.
Email:   tradegroup@hammersmith.biz    WWW:   hammersmithltd.blogspot.com
SKYPE: bacon39a
 
A GAFTA Member Corporation
 

SECTION 1 -- FEED GRAINS -- VEGETABLE AND ANIMAL PROTEIN
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Corn, soybeans and soymeal continued lower this week, as had been expected but now traders in the USA are saying that bad weather in the USA and a lack of farmer selling could cause prices to move higher next week.  Possibly higher, but the overall trend for prices is to lower levels in coming weeks unless there is a very serious change in the Brazil/Argentina situation.
 
At one time this week corn prices were at a four month low before bouncing up a little but the weakness in price is still there.  The supply and demand report from the USDA on Tuesday should set the new trend for prices for a few days.
 
Soybean prices were up and down and up and down all week but ended quite quietly on Friday with the weeks prices for both soybeans and soymeal close to unchanged on the week.  There was talk in the trade that prices may have dropped too quickly in recent weeks but if you look at the April/May prices from Argentina and Brazil then you see how much more room that there is for prices to drop.  However until the new South American crop comes to market there is still only the USA crop and prices will tend to dip and dive quite a bit.
 
As with corn price the prices for soybeans and soymeal will see some effect from the USDA report on Tuesday.
 

FOB port or location specified ..  prices in US$ .. in metric tones:
All shipments in bulk grain vessels unless stated otherwise
 
Corn  FOB NOLA USA------------------USD  165 m/t Feb, 166 Mar/Apr
Corn FOB Argentina port--------------USD  156 m/t Mar, 160 Apr/May
Corn FOB Brazil port-------------------USD  173 m/t Mar/Apr/May
Sorghum  FOB NOLA USA-------------USD  170/175 m/t  Mar/Apr  
 
Soymeal  48 pro, FOB NOLA----------USD  353 Feb, 346 Mar, 329 Apr 
Soymeal  44 pro, FOB NOLA----------USD  342 Feb, 335 Mar, 318 Apr
Soymeal Argentina - Rotterdam------USD  390/395 m/t
Soymeal FOB Argentina---------------USD  338/345 m/t Feb/Mar, 270 Apr
Soymeal 48 Brazil - Rotterdam-------USD  397/400 m/t 
Soymeal FOB Brazil--------------------USD  330>325 m/t Feb/Mar, 275 Apr
Soymeal 48 Indian FOB----------------USD  385/390
 
Bulk vessel shipments – minimum 5000 m/t
------------------------------------
Corn Gluten Feed  USA FOB NOLA----USD    145/150 m/t – Feb/Mar
Corn Gluten Meal  USA FOB NOLA----USD   655/660 m/t – Feb/Mar
DDGS  36 profat  USA FOB NOLA.-----USD  159>>144 m/t – Feb-Apr 
 
Container shipments – minimum 200 m/t
-------------------------------------
Corn gluten meal  Indian  60 pro-------USD  830/850 m/t CNF Egypt/Africa
Corn gluten meal USA 60 pro -----------USD 820/830 m/t CNF South Africa
 
The following indications are at producer's factory – ex-works in bulk
-------------------------------------------
Meat and bone meal, USA, 50 pro---------USD  350/355 m/t   
Feather meal  80 protein-------------------USD  510/530 m/t        
Poultry meal  57 pro, East Coast----------USD  400/420 m/t    
 
---------------------------------------------------
 
When you look at the trade reports for the sales price of animal protein products to various world markets you see a tremendous range of prices for protein from USA, Argentina, Paraguay, Australia/NZ and Europe.  Of course we all know why the European is lower priced, at least we do if we have read the Category 3 regulations,  Paraguay has been lower priced due to some quality problems with past shipments but both USA and Australia/NZ with their higher protein levels are premium priced origins.  Some of the higher price for these origins is due to import restrictions in particular countries that limits origins but there is also a general agreement that the overall quality is better and more consistent. 
 
With the recent drop in prices for soymeal many buyers have been looking for a drop in animal protein prices but the demand for meat and bone meal, poultry meal, feathermeal, etc have been keeping export prices higher than many buyers would like.
 
Argentina meat and bone meal prices are firm and export demand has been very strong.  Poultry meal and blood meal have been very hard to find but there is a feeling in the market that USA origin feathermeal prices could drop some in coming weeks as domestic demand is expected to drop in advance of the spring/summer feeding seasons in the USA, as happens most years.
 
There is still a great deal of demand for USA origin corn gluten meal, corn gluten feed and DDGS in bulk containers but USA shippers have been suffering from a severe shortage of containers and it is expected the container rates will increase USD 300 per 20 foot container on March 1st --- this will push prices up by close to USD 15 m/t.  Currently it is difficult for containers to compete against bulk vessel shipments to those destinations that have both types of shipment
 
As to prices, with the strong demand for all types of proteins it is very difficult to forecast a serious drop in prices, as not all end users can use lower priced soymeal to replace many proteins.   Soymeal is expected to continue lower but will other proteins.
 
 
 

SECTION 2 --- FISHMEAL COMMENTS AND PRICES .. PERUVIAN
 
------------------------------------------
 
Fishmeal prices remained the same again this week as the buying interest for the small available amounts has dropped of a little – also, with the upcoming holidays in major markets in Asia, the sellers expect that the market will be quiet for a couple of weeks.  However it is not expected that there will be any demand related drop in prices as there is still a very limited supply of fishmeal available from Peru.  With Peru being the major supplier of fishmeal to world markets there tends to be more attention to the Peruvian situation than to some other smaller producing areas.
 
Looking at the trade reports this week it seems that the business for the next fishing season is building with producers having booked quite a bit of business to large buyers in Asia.  One trade reports calculates that the Peru fishmeal market is current oversold by about 100,000 m/t, of course  most of this is fishmeal for the next fishing season.   Next fishing season in Peru should be in late April with new production ready for shipment in May.
 
The fishmeal analogue business has created lots of business interest but, as reported in a previous report,  there seem to be about a million complications with animal protein and GMO restrictions that is going to make shipments take much longer than originally hoped.
 
One more point on fishmeal, there seems to be more and more indications that Peru/Chile will experience an El Nino event this year and just the indications are enough to keep prices high and pre-season purchases at good levels.  Those buyers who must have fishmeal for their aquafeed formulations are concerned that supplies may drop and they don't want to be left searching everywhere for good quality aqua-grade fishmeal  --- so many are booking shipment as soon as possible with producers for the next fishing season.
 
  --------------------------------------
 
Peru .. indication fishmeal prices.
 
ALL PRICES SHOWN ARE FOB CONTAINER AT ORIGIN --- US DOLLARS
Minimum shipment of 200 m/t for fishmeal
 
Specifications----------------------FOB Peru $
  
FAQ basis 65 protein----------------1615/1630 m/t   
FAQ 65 protein gtee----------------- 1615/1630 m/t          
FAQ 66 protein gtee----------------- 1630/1645 m/t
FAQ 67 protein gtee------------------1640/1655 m/t
  
65/66 pro standard steam----------1630/1650 m/t
67 pro standard steam--------------1650/1670 m/t                
67 pro 150  TVN----------------------1660/1680 m/t               
67 pro 120 TVN-----------------------1675/1695 m/t       
67 pro 1000 hist, 120 TVN----------1690/1710 m/t          
67 pro 500 hist, 120 TVN------------1700/1720 m/t         
 
Fish oil .. crude bulk-------------------875/890 m/t
Fish oil – crude flexitank------------1025/1050 m/t
Fish oil – crude drums--------------1125/1150 m/t
Fish oil – Omega 3 gtee ------------1475/1500 m/t
 
          
Very best regards
 
Wayne Bacon
 
The information contained herein is based on sources that we believe to be reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete.  Nothing contained herein should be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy.  All references to prices are subject to change without notice.  Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.  As such, they may differ in material respects from those of, or expressed or published by or on behalf of, Hammersmith Marketing Ltd or its officers, directors, employees or affiliates
 
Copyright © 2010 Wayne S. Bacon  
Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: CHGO WHEAT

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Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: RATIOS: KANSAS CITY WHEAT

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Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: NET RATIOS: LIVE CATTLE

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Sunday
07Feb2010

CORN & BEANS 'CLEANING UP' ..HOGS- the Battle Lines are Drawn.

Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: NET RATIOS: SOYBEANS

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Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: NET RATIOS: LEAN HOGS

 

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Sunday
07Feb2010

COMMITMENT OF TRADERS: NET OPEN RATIOS: CORN

 

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Sunday
07Feb2010

My Way . . . Frank